Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.121941 0.135791 0.149973 0.165542 0.182115 0.199191 0.218080
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.102713 0.121790 0.142074 0.165115 0.190432 0.217279 0.247779
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.091433 0.114414 0.139636 0.169089 0.202268 0.238231 0.279903
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.080878 0.106505 0.135472 0.170155 0.210086 0.254188 0.306146
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.071363 0.098754 0.130598 0.169620 0.215445 0.266901 0.328407
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.064143 0.092995 0.127421 0.170493 0.221961 0.280587 0.351528
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.057092 0.086780 0.123133 0.169549 0.225937 0.291036 0.370707
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.053008 0.083935 0.122653 0.172928 0.234837 0.307086 0.396307
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.048174 0.079687 0.120066 0.173418 0.240021 0.318592 0.416488
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.043670 0.075501 0.117246 0.173346 0.244304 0.328872 0.435122
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.039199 0.070992 0.113700 0.172083 0.246901 0.336969 0.451048
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.036138 0.068239 0.112285 0.173399 0.252596 0.348743 0.471352
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.034118 0.066944 0.112859 0.177415 0.261894 0.365211 0.497733
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.030877 0.063548 0.110339 0.177178 0.265666 0.374825 0.515797
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.029326 0.062639 0.111218 0.181444 0.275221 0.391639 0.542732
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.026994 0.060291 0.109897 0.182615 0.280685 0.403316 0.563371
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.024398 0.057283 0.107443 0.182084 0.283816 0.411999 0.580286
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.022415 0.055128 0.106114 0.183013 0.288803 0.422994 0.600074
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.020134 0.052243 0.103524 0.182032 0.291147 0.430561 0.615554
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.019100 0.051497 0.104141 0.185572 0.299547 0.445891 0.640805
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.017473 0.049507 0.102712 0.186087 0.303798 0.455859 0.659312
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.015857 0.047375 0.100943 0.186012 0.307181 0.464669 0.676352
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.014138 0.044850 0.098402 0.184691 0.308770 0.471094 0.690338